Do we really need 22,000 new homes in Swindon? (From Swindon Advertiser)
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Do we really need 22,000 new homes in Swindon?
11:00am Monday 18th February 2013 in News By David Wiles
Construction work at Kingsdown Gate
POLITICAL leaders and housing experts say more than 20,000 new homes can still be built across Swindon over the next 13 years – despite the recent job losses at Honda and other firms.
Swindon Council’s public consultation ends this Thursday on the local plan 2026, which will come into force by April 2014 and sets out a number of proposed general planning policies, as well as specific locations for residential and employment uses.
The council says to maintain housing growth in line with economic forecasts and population increases, and to limit development on greenfield land, the document must earmark enough housing land for 22,000 new homes between 2011 and 2026 - with annual construction averages of 1,150 until 2016 and 1,625 until 2026.
The housing market, which crashed in 2007, relies on jobs and the local and national economy, as residents need cash and a steady income for a mortgage, and jobs must be created to attract people to relocate to the area and buy a property.
Swindon is thought to have lost more than 2,000 jobs so far in 2013, but Swindon Council is standing by its estimate for future house building, which has been upped to 22,000 after large employers branded the previous estimate “pessimistic”, resulting in plans to earmark fields near Blunsdon for 1,650 homes.
Council leaders point out that the long-term average for completed homes in Swindon over the last 20 years has been 1,043 per year.
Coun Rod Bluh, the council leader, said: “The evidence is before you. Swindon, even in the recession, was building more houses than most other places. These houses, when they’re built, aren’t empty and developers don’t build houses that they can’t sell.
“So yes, the housing market isn’t as strong as it used to be but Swindon still has the strength in its housing market. The fact that that’s the case suggests there’s reason for it: that reason is probably to do with the strength of the Swindon economy. We’re still in the top five of the most productive places in the UK.”
Coun Jim Grant, the Labour group leader, agreed with the 22,000 figure, adding: “If this recession goes on for some five, six, seven, 10 years, we will need to review these figures because they won’t be needed, but the expectation is in the mid-2000-teens things will pick up and we will return to some form of economic growth and we would be left behind unless we’ve planned to have that growth.”
Les Durrant, the managing director and chairman of planning consultant, DPDS Consulting, in Old Town, which has been involved in Wichelstowe and Ridgeway Farm, said there were signs of improvement, with developers seeking to buy more local land, and reporting increased viewings of show homes and reservations.
He said some developers thought Swindon’s economy could support more than 22,000 new homes, adding on the job losses: “I think most of the economists we tend to look to for guidance on how to address these sorts of issues will tell you you don’t plan fully around short-term economic issues like that.
“You do have to look at the underlying long-term trends, and with the economic forecasts I have seen from sources including the Regional Development Agency,when it was still around, they were all forecasting the long-term future is still looking quite good for Swindon.”
He said there was “huge pent-up demand” locally for housing, adding: “To be frank about it, builders simply don’t build if they aren’t selling, it really is a simple equation. They cannot afford to have bricks and mortar on the ground and have things stood empty.”
Official figures for Swindon show there were 504 properties unoccupied and unfurnished for six or more months in October 2012, a reduction from 1,178 in October 2005; but the number of properties empty and unfurnished for less than six months was 1,022 in October 2012, up from 847 in October 2010.
From April owners of long-term empty properties will pay 150 per cent council tax, which the council hopes will encourage owners to bring them back into use.
Julian Robinson, the sales manager at McFarlane Sales and Lettings, in Old Town, said for first time buyers, new homes were more attractive because developers could offer special deals to help obtain mortgages, although he said “second hand” stock would sell if priced correctly.
He said there would be demand for the 22,000 new homes, adding: “I think with the deals the new homes developers can offer, I think they will sell them. If say 10 years ago or maybe a bit more, somebody said ‘Gosh, they’re going to build all these houses in Oakhurst, Redhouse, Haydon End’ - well they’re all sold now, they’ve got somebody living in them, and that was during a recession.”
MPs approve of 22,000 homes plan
Swindon’s MPs are backing the move to earmark land for 22,000 homes.
Justin Tomlinson said the plan was based on past annual figures. “Over the years we had a number of recessions,” he said. “We’ve had a number of employers leave Swindon, we’ve had a number of employers move to Swindon, so it’s fair to say that will happen over the next 20 years.
“But if it doesn’t, the houses won’t get built, because housebuilders don’t build empty houses.”
Robert Buckland said on recent job cuts: “There’s a difference between the short-term and the long-term. There may be issues which are extremely unwelcome but does that mean the long-term picture is going to change? I don’t think it does. We need a different outlook when dealing in the long-term.”
Sales going well at Wichel
Taylor Wimpey, the developer behind East Wichel, says sales are steadily increasing.
A total of 565 homes in the 838-homes first phase have so far been built since 2008 – and 563 are occupied of which 235 are affordable homes, being a mix of rented and shared ownership, with 328 privately owned. There are about 40 homes being constructed on site currently.
Darren McCormack, regional sales and marketing director for Taylor Wimpey, said: “We have seen a steady increase in sales at our Swindon developments since January.
“We released our new Heyworth Heights development in Highworth early from Allen and Harris Estate Agents due to popular demand and have already sold two properties since the development officially opened last week.
“An independent study carried out for us revealed that nearly 70 per cent of people still aspire to own their own home, with one in three ranking it more important than getting married, having children or building a career.
“These results reflect the sales we have been experiencing at our Wichelstowe development, which has been selling one property a week on average for the past five weeks.”
Comments(46)
JeanSaunders
says...
11:40am Mon 18 Feb 13
1st April 2008– 30 March 2009 = 970 new houses built.
1st April 2009– 30 March 2010= 880
1st April 2010– 30 March 2011= 730
1st April 20011– 30 March 2012=820
The latest figures (published in November 2012) =450.
There are only 13 years left for the Local Plan to run with no sign that the economy is improving.
The target for 22,000 extra houses to be built in that time is not only unachievable but undesirable.
The mass house-building companied always lobby for more. No change this time, I see.
There is certainly no need to allocate Kingsdown for development in the current plan.
LordAshOfTheBrake
says...
12:01pm Mon 18 Feb 13
The houses may not be empty, but look at the churn rate for some of them.
Its all well and good constantly building houses, but the infrastructure and jobs must be there to support the longer term and that does not exist and is not properly planned and funded.
Davey Gravey
says...
12:09pm Mon 18 Feb 13
Tim Newroman wrote:Agree with the above. The fact that the stats for the birth rates of foreign women is high means the problem is escalating. Many don't bring skills with them and end up doing warehouse or manual jobs undercutting the British workforce and driving standards and pay down. Very worrying times indeed.
22,000 new homes over 13 years isn't a huge amount (1692 per year for a town with a population of 200,000) but the problem for Swindon is that the increase in housing and population over the last 20 years has not been matched, at all, by the increase in leisure, recreation and other social amenities.
The town cannot continue expanding in population and housing without attention to:
a) what employment opportunities there are.
b) what people are going to actually do in their free time for recreation, leisure and entertainment.
The council, and national government, also need to be far more honest and transparent about WHY these homes are needed and WHY the population is increasing at pace. The answer to both questions is one and the same: uncontrolled immigration.
And we already know that it's going to get much worse as we move into 2014.
Al Smith
says...
12:21pm Mon 18 Feb 13
This is reflected in the quality of the bus service between Swindon and Oxford. Which is probably better than the service that some of Swindon's suburbs get to the town centre.
Tim Newroman
says...
12:25pm Mon 18 Feb 13
Davey Gravey wrote:Absolutely. Worse still, a lot of these new homes will be 'affordable housing', intended for those immigrants who arrive and claim to be self-employed and who, therefore, can then access free housing and benefits immediately. If they arrive with children, they will instantly improve their standard of living without even having to work.
Tim Newroman wrote:Agree with the above. The fact that the stats for the birth rates of foreign women is high means the problem is escalating. Many don't bring skills with them and end up doing warehouse or manual jobs undercutting the British workforce and driving standards and pay down. Very worrying times indeed.
22,000 new homes over 13 years isn't a huge amount (1692 per year for a town with a population of 200,000) but the problem for Swindon is that the increase in housing and population over the last 20 years has not been matched, at all, by the increase in leisure, recreation and other social amenities.
The town cannot continue expanding in population and housing without attention to:
a) what employment opportunities there are.
b) what people are going to actually do in their free time for recreation, leisure and entertainment.
The council, and national government, also need to be far more honest and transparent about WHY these homes are needed and WHY the population is increasing at pace. The answer to both questions is one and the same: uncontrolled immigration.
And we already know that it's going to get much worse as we move into 2014.
All of this then creates even more of a drain on public services and the council's resources - despite the newcomers contributing nothing to the local economy (other than ensuring Aldi stay afloat).
house on the hill
says...
1:30pm Mon 18 Feb 13
We are so pathetically soft in the country we are going be the architects of our own dowfall if we dont toughen up and tackle the welfare and immigration issues and will simply go bankrupt.
Tim Newroman
says...
1:52pm Mon 18 Feb 13
house on the hill wrote:@house on the hill: unfortunately, it's already too late. Nothing is going to change in the next couple of years and then Labour will again take office in 2015.
Agree with above, the immigration problem will only escalate and building all these houses for social housing seem to just be encouraging more and more to come here. we should stop building social housing, only house those who actually need it and when they no longer need it, that support should stop as it does in all other areas of the welfare system, you receive it when you need it and dont when you dont.
We are so pathetically soft in the country we are going be the architects of our own dowfall if we dont toughen up and tackle the welfare and immigration issues and will simply go bankrupt.
If anything, it's only going to get much worse for the remainder of this decade.
The UK hasn't been able to afford the current set-up for a good few decades. In fact, it is the case that for almost half the period that the current welfare state system has been in place, the country has had to borrow billions upon billions to 'afford' it. As the welfare budget increases, as it is doing, and tax receipts decrease (as they have done for many years) it can only get worse. We can barely afford the interest repayments as it is currently.
adsinibiza
says...
2:12pm Mon 18 Feb 13
For example it is estimated that currently 1.6 million 20 to 40 year old are living with their parents due to the lack of reasonably priced accomodation in this country.
These people are not immigrants and most have jobs - thereby negating the arguments given about immigration and employment.
The fact is these houses are needed to address the imbalance between supply and demand that currently exists in the housing market - and in addressing this issue, hopefully the ridiculously high cost of accomodation in this country will also reduce, which is something else that needs attention!
Davey Gravey
says...
2:12pm Mon 18 Feb 13
JeanSaunders
says...
2:14pm Mon 18 Feb 13
Davey Gravey
says...
2:20pm Mon 18 Feb 13
Tim Newroman
says...
2:22pm Mon 18 Feb 13
JeanSaunders wrote...
These racist sentiments do not help.
I'm sorry, Jean, but that level of 'debate' doesn't wash anymore. People don't buy it.
If you are aware of a driver of the UK's requirement for housing over the last 10 years that is greater than immigration, please do inform us.
Nobody builds houses unless they are able to sell them. You may not like developers, but they are business people, and their business is making money. You do not do that by building houses that nobody buys.
Regardless of whether you find it 'racist', or not, the current requirements for, and pressure on, house building is being driven by uncontrolled immigration.
Which, if it calms your sensibilities a little, is, by far, a majority of white people. No racism here, just an acceptance of the reality.
A.Baron-Cohen
says...
2:31pm Mon 18 Feb 13
JeanSaunders wrote:Immigration/immigran
These racist sentiments do not help. Stop blaming immigrants for the housing situation in Swindon. Swindon has been seen as a target for growth for years because successive Councils and politicians have supported growth. It seems that they think that the only way that Swindon will improve is by making it bigger. They don't seem to have heard about quality over quantity that has led to the success of smaller settlements.
ts are a convenient scapegoat.....like Jews during the 1930's Germany. There always been racists and bigots....unfortunat
ely a lot on here.
We need to build more houses because we need them but also because we want people to have a stake in Society, to be Law abiding and active members of the community.
Yes we need more houses, there is a crisis right now but we also need better housing....
UK houses are the smallest in Europe, some will say the UK is a small country, yet in the Netherlands, houses are 30% bigger.
A.Baron-Cohen
says...
2:38pm Mon 18 Feb 13
Tim Newroman wrote:Let's assume that you are correct.....and that housing is driven by immigrants, shouldn't we see the majority of these new houses in North Swindon, Wichelstowe taken by immigrants?!?
JeanSaunders wrote...
These racist sentiments do not help.
I'm sorry, Jean, but that level of 'debate' doesn't wash anymore. People don't buy it.
If you are aware of a driver of the UK's requirement for housing over the last 10 years that is greater than immigration, please do inform us.
Nobody builds houses unless they are able to sell them. You may not like developers, but they are business people, and their business is making money. You do not do that by building houses that nobody buys.
Regardless of whether you find it 'racist', or not, the current requirements for, and pressure on, house building is being driven by uncontrolled immigration.
Which, if it calms your sensibilities a little, is, by far, a majority of white people. No racism here, just an acceptance of the reality.
dukeofM4
says...
3:07pm Mon 18 Feb 13
What's driving this is Swindon's lower prices vs (Oxford, Newbury and Reading) and Gov't benefits policies negating the economic realities of splitting up families.
Buyers in Swindon then need to balance off the lower cost house with the hassle of getting to work up or down the M4 or paying £7750 annual pass to the GWR if they work in London because of outdated transport links. The Oxford road should have been made into duel carriageway years ago like the A419.
As someone said 22,000 houses is not a great number given the time period. However simply building new secondary roads, and laying on a new bus route will not solve the infrastructure problems getting in and out of town and accessing the M4.
The improvements to the A419 will be for not in another 10 years with the same past traffic queues reappearing again. Swindon needs a proper northern ring road connecting the M4 somewhere between J16 and 17 for traffic going down to Bristol rather than squeeze everything down J16 for starters.
It's the same old story in this country. For example between. Germany is not perfect, but they did manage to build an additional 750km of new Autobahn between 2005 - 2010. What new stretches can anyone remember being built in the UK lately apart from some new A road connecting MK with the M1?
itsamess3
says...
3:11pm Mon 18 Feb 13
Davidsyrett
says...
3:36pm Mon 18 Feb 13
A.Baron-Cohen wrote:Well said Baron. Just look around the new build areas and find how many are owned by immigrants? very few!!
Tim Newroman wrote:Let's assume that you are correct.....and that housing is driven by immigrants, shouldn't we see the majority of these new houses in North Swindon, Wichelstowe taken by immigrants?!?
JeanSaunders wrote...
These racist sentiments do not help.
I'm sorry, Jean, but that level of 'debate' doesn't wash anymore. People don't buy it.
If you are aware of a driver of the UK's requirement for housing over the last 10 years that is greater than immigration, please do inform us.
Nobody builds houses unless they are able to sell them. You may not like developers, but they are business people, and their business is making money. You do not do that by building houses that nobody buys.
Regardless of whether you find it 'racist', or not, the current requirements for, and pressure on, house building is being driven by uncontrolled immigration.
Which, if it calms your sensibilities a little, is, by far, a majority of white people. No racism here, just an acceptance of the reality.
Social housing on each new estate is very small (I think on Kingsdown Gate it is just 11) and I doubt that half of those would go to immigrants.
Developers will only build houses if they sell. People can only buy houses if they are in employment. Work it out!! People are working out off the area but can't afford houses there, so there buying in Swindon.
itsamess3
says...
4:15pm Mon 18 Feb 13
Well said Baron. Just look around the new build areas and find how many are owned by immigrants? very few!!
Social housing on each new estate is very small (I think on Kingsdown Gate it is just 11) and I doubt that half of those would go to immigrants.
Developers will only build houses if they sell. People can only buy houses if they are in employment. Work it out!! People are working out off the area but can't afford houses there, so there buying in Swindon.”
Perhaps you should open your eyes more--its not all about social housing.
Take a look at the Paddington Drive housing build and you will find most languages spoken there-likewise the buy to lets-many occupied by those on benefits (foreign landlords and occupants) and of course the tiny bedsits and multiple occupations with the great majority on the housing list-again mostly owned by asian businessmen-think again!
Davidsyrett
says...
4:38pm Mon 18 Feb 13
itsamess3 wrote:There's a conception on here that Swindon is building houses for immigrants.
@ Davidsyrett
Well said Baron. Just look around the new build areas and find how many are owned by immigrants? very few!!
Social housing on each new estate is very small (I think on Kingsdown Gate it is just 11) and I doubt that half of those would go to immigrants.
Developers will only build houses if they sell. People can only buy houses if they are in employment. Work it out!! People are working out off the area but can't afford houses there, so there buying in Swindon.”
Perhaps you should open your eyes more--its not all about social housing.
Take a look at the Paddington Drive housing build and you will find most languages spoken there-likewise the buy to lets-many occupied by those on benefits (foreign landlords and occupants) and of course the tiny bedsits and multiple occupations with the great majority on the housing list-again mostly owned by asian businessmen-think again!
There are obviously some who will get social housing but before you make assumptions, the vast majority of houses will go to working people who have the right to be in this country, some of which will not be the same nationality but live & work in this country , these are not immigrants!! They have the right to buy houses just like yourself, just because your not happy with these laws is neither here nor there.
Yes, there will be buy-to-lets, (and I wasn't aware that it was against the law for Asian business men to buy houses and rent them out!) and maybe they will be rented out to people on benefit but, if they're claiming benefit there entitled to a roof over there head, where ever it maybe.
I go back to my original point, houses will only be built if they can be sold.
StillPav
says...
4:40pm Mon 18 Feb 13
A.Baron-Cohen wrote:A.Baron-Cohen - "Let's assume that you are correct.....and that housing is driven by immigrants, shouldn't we see the majority of these new houses in North Swindon, Wichelstowe taken by immigrants?!?”
Tim Newroman wrote:Let's assume that you are correct.....and that housing is driven by immigrants, shouldn't we see the majority of these new houses in North Swindon, Wichelstowe taken by immigrants?!?JeanSaunders wrote... These racist sentiments do not help.I'm sorry, Jean, but that level of 'debate' doesn't wash anymore. People don't buy it. If you are aware of a driver of the UK's requirement for housing over the last 10 years that is greater than immigration, please do inform us. Nobody builds houses unless they are able to sell them. You may not like developers, but they are business people, and their business is making money. You do not do that by building houses that nobody buys. Regardless of whether you find it 'racist', or not, the current requirements for, and pressure on, house building is being driven by uncontrolled immigration. Which, if it calms your sensibilities a little, is, by far, a majority of white people. No racism here, just an acceptance of the reality.
North Swindon is largely inhabited by people who used to live in the centre Swindon.
Central Swindon is now inhabited with a large number of immigrants.
Where you used to have a couple or two professional sharers in a two-bed house you now have a family of four. Where you used to have families in three and four-bed homes, you now have three or four adult sharers.
You only have to look at the pressure on town centre services and issues with parking (cars in the road, on verges and on front lawns) to see that the houses there are not being used as designed.
Davidsyrett
says...
4:58pm Mon 18 Feb 13
StillPav wrote:Most of the houses you talk about were built in the early 1900's, and when first built were often full of Mum & Dad, Granny, and 6 kids, what a ludicrous point to make, "Not being used as designed"
A.Baron-Cohen wrote:A.Baron-Cohen - "Let's assume that you are correct.....and that housing is driven by immigrants, shouldn't we see the majority of these new houses in North Swindon, Wichelstowe taken by immigrants?!?”
Tim Newroman wrote:Let's assume that you are correct.....and that housing is driven by immigrants, shouldn't we see the majority of these new houses in North Swindon, Wichelstowe taken by immigrants?!?JeanSaunders wrote... These racist sentiments do not help.I'm sorry, Jean, but that level of 'debate' doesn't wash anymore. People don't buy it. If you are aware of a driver of the UK's requirement for housing over the last 10 years that is greater than immigration, please do inform us. Nobody builds houses unless they are able to sell them. You may not like developers, but they are business people, and their business is making money. You do not do that by building houses that nobody buys. Regardless of whether you find it 'racist', or not, the current requirements for, and pressure on, house building is being driven by uncontrolled immigration. Which, if it calms your sensibilities a little, is, by far, a majority of white people. No racism here, just an acceptance of the reality.
North Swindon is largely inhabited by people who used to live in the centre Swindon.
Central Swindon is now inhabited with a large number of immigrants.
Where you used to have a couple or two professional sharers in a two-bed house you now have a family of four. Where you used to have families in three and four-bed homes, you now have three or four adult sharers.
You only have to look at the pressure on town centre services and issues with parking (cars in the road, on verges and on front lawns) to see that the houses there are not being used as designed.
Are you saying that the white people were all pushed out of central Swindon and have to now live in Nth Swindon, or as is probably the real point , they moved there because they wanted too! they wanted new houses, not old ones that needed regular repairs and upkeep.
itsamess3
says...
5:20pm Mon 18 Feb 13
I go back to my original point, houses will only be built if they can be sold.”
Of course they will-buy to let-- to house benefit seekers as its more profitable and in part paid for by child benefits paid by the govt for kids not born or living here.
itsamess3
says...
5:24pm Mon 18 Feb 13
I go back to my original point, houses will only be built if they can be sold.”
Of course they will-buy to let-- to house benefit seekers as its more profitable and in part paid for by child benefits paid by the govt for kids not born or living here.
dukeofM4
says...
5:47pm Mon 18 Feb 13
The only thing that has changed is the immigrants come from further a field, but the same principle applies. Does anyone remember the term Anglo-Saxon?
In 2006 there was a show called 'So you think you're English' where they took DNA from some famous people and the results where anything but.
jfrancis
says...
6:10pm Mon 18 Feb 13
I was born near Blunsdon and would like to move back but I cannot afford the prices in the area, maybe this new development will allow me to get on the housing ladder. Its all very well for all of you sitting in your nice homes complaining about more houses being built when all we young want to do is buy a house near where we work. Swindon needs more young professional people, not a load of oldies.
Blackmalkin
says...
6:36pm Mon 18 Feb 13
peatmoor pirate
says...
6:42pm Mon 18 Feb 13
adsinibiza wrote:An you are ignoring the fact that my two 20 year olds will still not be able to get affordable housing in Swindon because unless they get some poor lass up the duff, they have got as much chance of getting a Council house as Eric Pickles has of being welcome anywhere around Swinley Drive in the near future.
All of you seem to be forgetting one important fact with your discussion on immigration, employment etc - the fact is that there is currently a massive shortage of housing\accomodation in this country - satisfying this latent demand is the reason why many if not most of these new houses are needed.
For example it is estimated that currently 1.6 million 20 to 40 year old are living with their parents due to the lack of reasonably priced accomodation in this country.
These people are not immigrants and most have jobs - thereby negating the arguments given about immigration and employment.
The fact is these houses are needed to address the imbalance between supply and demand that currently exists in the housing market - and in addressing this issue, hopefully the ridiculously high cost of accomodation in this country will also reduce, which is something else that needs attention!
adsinibiza
says...
7:32pm Mon 18 Feb 13
peatmoor pirate wrote:Your 20 year olds are precisely the type of people I had in mind when writing my post.
adsinibiza wrote:An you are ignoring the fact that my two 20 year olds will still not be able to get affordable housing in Swindon because unless they get some poor lass up the duff, they have got as much chance of getting a Council house as Eric Pickles has of being welcome anywhere around Swinley Drive in the near future.
All of you seem to be forgetting one important fact with your discussion on immigration, employment etc - the fact is that there is currently a massive shortage of housing\accomodation in this country - satisfying this latent demand is the reason why many if not most of these new houses are needed.
For example it is estimated that currently 1.6 million 20 to 40 year old are living with their parents due to the lack of reasonably priced accomodation in this country.
These people are not immigrants and most have jobs - thereby negating the arguments given about immigration and employment.
The fact is these houses are needed to address the imbalance between supply and demand that currently exists in the housing market - and in addressing this issue, hopefully the ridiculously high cost of accomodation in this country will also reduce, which is something else that needs attention!
You are perfectly correct when you say that as things stand they will not be able to afford housing in Swindon and will probably be living with you for many years - the reason for which being that demand has far outstripped supply thereby pushing up the cost of housing - a simple economic fact of life.
This cost increase is demonstrated (as is the need for a reduction in the cost of housing) by the fact that the cost of an average house rose from three times avergae salary to five times betrween the years 2000 and 2010.
Prices need to come down and that will only be acheived by increasing the supply of new homes i.e. building more
jfrancis
says...
8:04pm Mon 18 Feb 13
Blackmalkin wrote:Taylor Wimpey, the developer behind East Wichel, says sales are steadily increasing.
The powers-that-be want the houses in Swindon because it's already a dump. From what I hear, the Wichelstowe houses are hard to shift because of the number of social tenants who moved there from Pinehurst. Door-to-door robberies, for goodness' sake.
A total of 565 homes have been built – and 563 are occupied of which 235 are affordable homes, being a mix of rented and shared ownership, with 328 privately owned. There are about 40 homes being constructed on site currently.
so 2 unsold !!!!
A.Baron-Cohen
says...
8:38am Tue 19 Feb 13
StillPav wrote:This is a well known and well documented phenomenon. It is not specific to Swindon but a common occurrence in all urban areas all over the world.
A.Baron-Cohen wrote:A.Baron-Cohen - "Let's assume that you are correct.....and that housing is driven by immigrants, shouldn't we see the majority of these new houses in North Swindon, Wichelstowe taken by immigrants?!?”
Tim Newroman wrote:Let's assume that you are correct.....and that housing is driven by immigrants, shouldn't we see the majority of these new houses in North Swindon, Wichelstowe taken by immigrants?!?JeanSaunders wrote... These racist sentiments do not help.I'm sorry, Jean, but that level of 'debate' doesn't wash anymore. People don't buy it. If you are aware of a driver of the UK's requirement for housing over the last 10 years that is greater than immigration, please do inform us. Nobody builds houses unless they are able to sell them. You may not like developers, but they are business people, and their business is making money. You do not do that by building houses that nobody buys. Regardless of whether you find it 'racist', or not, the current requirements for, and pressure on, house building is being driven by uncontrolled immigration. Which, if it calms your sensibilities a little, is, by far, a majority of white people. No racism here, just an acceptance of the reality.
North Swindon is largely inhabited by people who used to live in the centre Swindon.
Central Swindon is now inhabited with a large number of immigrants.
Where you used to have a couple or two professional sharers in a two-bed house you now have a family of four. Where you used to have families in three and four-bed homes, you now have three or four adult sharers.
You only have to look at the pressure on town centre services and issues with parking (cars in the road, on verges and on front lawns) to see that the houses there are not being used as designed.
Poor people/new arrivals live where they can afford....Urban decay (ghettos, gangs) and White Flight go hand in hand, unless we build more houses, more affordable housing we will end up with a situation like in America where people racially self segregate with all the problems (Social, economic, Justice) that entails.
Tim Newroman
says...
8:39am Tue 19 Feb 13
JeanSaunders wrote...
Immigration/immigran
ts are a convenient scapegoat.....like Jews during the 1930's Germany.
Dear oh dear. Godwin's Law appears, no surprises there then.
You cannot seriously be suggesting that the pressure on housing stock and the increase in the UK population has nothing to do with the uncontrolled immigration of the past 15 years?
Even government departments admit there is an issue.
It is categorically NOT racist to discuss the problems, or to accept their existence.
Either you are a staunch (and rather blind) supporter of everything New Labour or there's an even more insidious agenda behind your attempt to smear those who wish to debate the pressing issues as racists and neo-Nazis.
Tim Newroman
says...
8:43am Tue 19 Feb 13
dukeofM4 wrote:And this mindset also amazes me.
This whole conversation amazes me. The UK has been a place of immigration since Roman times. All someone has to do is go to the site in North Swindon containing a Roman Village which was dug up about 10 years old for proof.
The only thing that has changed is the immigrants come from further a field, but the same principle applies. Does anyone remember the term Anglo-Saxon?
In 2006 there was a show called 'So you think you're English' where they took DNA from some famous people and the results where anything but.
Do you really believe there is no difference between a man born in England who can trace his family ancestory back to a roman who arrived in Britain 2000 years ago and a man who steps off a plane from Somalia at Heathrow tomorrow morning? Seriously?
To use your logic, I could fly to Ethiopia tomorrow and walk down the street telling everyone, 'It's OK, I'm Ethiopian originally, I'm just like you... other than that I'm white, unable to speak your language and no precisely nothing about your customs and social cues'.
How do you suppose that might work out for me?
A.Baron-Cohen
says...
9:30am Tue 19 Feb 13
Tim Newroman wrote:There is a difference between acknowledging a problem and making this problem the central piece of your existence.
JeanSaunders wrote...
Immigration/immigran
ts are a convenient scapegoat.....like Jews during the 1930's Germany.
Dear oh dear. Godwin's Law appears, no surprises there then.
You cannot seriously be suggesting that the pressure on housing stock and the increase in the UK population has nothing to do with the uncontrolled immigration of the past 15 years?
Even government departments admit there is an issue.
It is categorically NOT racist to discuss the problems, or to accept their existence.
Either you are a staunch (and rather blind) supporter of everything New Labour or there's an even more insidious agenda behind your attempt to smear those who wish to debate the pressing issues as racists and neo-Nazis.
I really would love to debate pressing issues, but I am afraid, immigration is way down the list, I have like most other people more real issues to deal with like job security, cost of living and providing for myself and my family, whilst a small bunch of Etonians are running this country like a board game....and with very little success if I may say.
Tim Newroman
says...
10:12am Tue 19 Feb 13
I'll give you a clue, it starts with 'I' and ends with 'N'.
A large part of the reason the country is being run with no success is due to the same thing.
"Because it is one thing to have free immigration to jobs. It is another thing to have free immigration to welfare. And you cannot have both. If you have a welfare state, if you have a state in which every resident is promises a certain minimal level of income, or a minimum level of subsistence, regardless of whether he works or not, produces it or not. Then it really is an impossible thing."
Milton Friedman - Nobel Memorial Prize Winner in Economic Sciences
Rather interestingly, your earlier post on this thread admits that your'e well aware of the pressures on housing caused by immigration.
Town Of The Future
says...
10:51am Tue 19 Feb 13
Many people in those areas will have done one of two things:
Moved out of their town centre house, the ones now traditionally filled with immigrants
Or moved out of their rented properties, which are also being taken by immigrants.
The levels of immigrants vs unemployed brits have been well documented over the years, and while i accept there are a minority who are just lazy and will never work, leaving a good arguments for reasonable immigration, the majority do want to work, but are seeing their jobs and being undercut by immigrants who come here as single people, share a house with 3 or 4 others, claim child benefits for children at home, thus affording the lower wages.
Brits aren't so lucky as they will have families who live with them, unable to take in lodgers to share bills, and not entitled to the same level of benefits.
So the social argument is also null and void. Some working people who are not in receipt of benefits, simply cannot afford to buy houses. Are you saying they should be thrown out on the streets because they have no theoretical need for social housing??
The argument is quite simple, the more people you let into your country, the more houses you will need! You cant stop the building unless you reduce the population!
Tim Newroman
says...
11:00am Tue 19 Feb 13
Net migration is still running at c.250,000 people per year into the UK.
Those people, when they arrive at least, are very often single people. They all have to be housed somewhere.
It's the equivalent of an entire town 20% bigger than Swindon simply turning up and demanding a house each and every year.
To claim that it's not putting immense pressure on the housing market is patently incorrect.
Of course nobody is suggesting that, for example, Wichelstowe will end up inhabited by immigrants. That's not how it works. One thing is for sure, though, you can bet that plenty of non-immigrants for places such as Slough and Reading will end up moving to Swindon.
A.Baron-Cohen
says...
11:45am Tue 19 Feb 13
Tim Newroman wrote:"Net migration - the balance between the number of people who come to live in the UK for the long-term and the number who are leaving - fell from 242,000 to 183,000 in the year to March"
@Town Of The Future: exactly.
Net migration is still running at c.250,000 people per year into the UK.
Those people, when they arrive at least, are very often single people. They all have to be housed somewhere.
It's the equivalent of an entire town 20% bigger than Swindon simply turning up and demanding a house each and every year.
To claim that it's not putting immense pressure on the housing market is patently incorrect.
Of course nobody is suggesting that, for example, Wichelstowe will end up inhabited by immigrants. That's not how it works. One thing is for sure, though, you can bet that plenty of non-immigrants for places such as Slough and Reading will end up moving to Swindon.
Inward migration fell by 42,000 to 536,000 - non-EU nationals 296,000, against EU migrants 240,000.
It is worth noting the number of UK nationals returning from overseas and also the fact that immigrants, include a great number of Foreign Students.
Empty Car Park
says...
12:44pm Tue 19 Feb 13
Tim Newroman
says...
1:09pm Tue 19 Feb 13
A.Baron-Cohen wrote:Thanks for that, so we have well over half a million immigrants arriving, even now, each year.
Tim Newroman wrote:"Net migration - the balance between the number of people who come to live in the UK for the long-term and the number who are leaving - fell from 242,000 to 183,000 in the year to March"
@Town Of The Future: exactly.
Net migration is still running at c.250,000 people per year into the UK.
Those people, when they arrive at least, are very often single people. They all have to be housed somewhere.
It's the equivalent of an entire town 20% bigger than Swindon simply turning up and demanding a house each and every year.
To claim that it's not putting immense pressure on the housing market is patently incorrect.
Of course nobody is suggesting that, for example, Wichelstowe will end up inhabited by immigrants. That's not how it works. One thing is for sure, though, you can bet that plenty of non-immigrants for places such as Slough and Reading will end up moving to Swindon.
Inward migration fell by 42,000 to 536,000 - non-EU nationals 296,000, against EU migrants 240,000.
It is worth noting the number of UK nationals returning from overseas and also the fact that immigrants, include a great number of Foreign Students.
Of course, that can't *possibly* be putting any strain at all on housing provision in the UK.
Definitely not.
house on the hill
says...
1:19pm Tue 19 Feb 13
the reality is we cant at the moment afford to support all those who would like to come here, eventually it will just collapse and they will end up going somewhere else when the money runs out having never put anything in. Are we areally that stupid and irresponsible to think we can continue on this path?
Empty Car Park
says...
5:00pm Tue 19 Feb 13
Are we areally that stupid and irresponsible to think we can continue on this path?
David Cameron appears to be.
On the single issue that I had faith in the Conservative Party.
Disappointing
Tim Newroman
says...
5:30pm Tue 19 Feb 13
Empty Car Park wrote:What would you like David Cameron to do with regards to immigration policy and the welfare budget?
Are we areally that stupid and irresponsible to think we can continue on this path?
David Cameron appears to be.
On the single issue that I had faith in the Conservative Party.
Disappointing
What is it you think he's actually doing?
Or, as per usual, are you just having a pop for the sake of it and adding absolutely nothing to the discussion?
Eastern Badger
says...
11:33pm Tue 19 Feb 13
A.Baron-Cohen
says...
8:24am Wed 20 Feb 13
Eastern Badger wrote:and to illustrate your point, a jobless British mother of 11 getting a six-bed home built on the council (at a cost of 400K!) and owns a HORSE, I guess we won't hear anything from the official anti immigrant anti gay anti EU anti etc....Tim Newroman on the subject....
Do any if you actually realise how few 'immigrants' claim housing benefit compared to 'UK' nationals? Most are willing to work and do work. The cost of new homes is beyond all - even in the housing boom of the late 2006/7 period prices rose despite an increase in building. Covering the countryside around Swindon with homes will not decrease prices and will not stop the need for social housing for those who will never support themselves - however councils don't build council houses yet Swindon's opposition groups support more building without a plan.
Tim Newroman
says...
5:44pm Wed 20 Feb 13
A.Baron-Cohen wrote:What a daft comment. Of course it's ridiculous that we have arrived at a situation where that particular lady's arrangements are not only possible but fully supported and encouraged.
Eastern Badger wrote:and to illustrate your point, a jobless British mother of 11 getting a six-bed home built on the council (at a cost of 400K!) and owns a HORSE, I guess we won't hear anything from the official anti immigrant anti gay anti EU anti etc....Tim Newroman on the subject....
Do any if you actually realise how few 'immigrants' claim housing benefit compared to 'UK' nationals? Most are willing to work and do work. The cost of new homes is beyond all - even in the housing boom of the late 2006/7 period prices rose despite an increase in building. Covering the countryside around Swindon with homes will not decrease prices and will not stop the need for social housing for those who will never support themselves - however councils don't build council houses yet Swindon's opposition groups support more building without a plan.
Do not smear me by implying that I am anti-gay, that is a libellous comment.
Equally, while I can understand your touchiness about the subject, I am not anti-immigrants. It is the system I am against, not those who, rather inevitably, take advantage of it.
With regards to the EU, I am actually pro most of the aspects of the arrangement. It is really only the Human Rights Act and the uncontrolled immigration that I find objectionable - but, unfortunately, we have to accept those downsides unless we pull out.
So, your own prejudices have shone through in your little rant above. Sadly, for you, you were wrong on every count. As usual.
Tim Newroman says...
11:25am Mon 18 Feb 13
The town cannot continue expanding in population and housing without attention to:
a) what employment opportunities there are.
b) what people are going to actually do in their free time for recreation, leisure and entertainment.
The council, and national government, also need to be far more honest and transparent about WHY these homes are needed and WHY the population is increasing at pace. The answer to both questions is one and the same: uncontrolled immigration.
And we already know that it's going to get much worse as we move into 2014.