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Housing market is cooling off

7:23pm Tuesday 27th February 2007

comment Comments (13)   Have your say »


THE housing market is cooling off - but there's no need to panic.

That's the view from Swindon's Nationwide Building Society, which today released its authoritative monthly house price survey.

The society believes that there could be another interest rate rise on the cards, which would act to slow the market down further.

It says that buyer interest and mortgage demand are waning, but that the supply of properties coming on to the market is low, and this keeps prices up.

Group economist Fionnuala Earley said: "This lack of supply will mean that house price inflation will remain firm for a while longer, before gradually easing."

Prices this month compared to February last year were 10.2 per cent up. It means the average house price now stands at £174,706, more than £16,000 higher than this time 12 months ago, and equivalent to a rise of £40 a day.

But while the market is cooling, there are certain areas which are doing well according to Nationwide, which employs about 4,000 people in Swindon.

The buy-to-let sector is still "very firm" at the moment, the building society says.

Ms Earley said: "Looking forward the buy-to-let market is not immune from higher interest rates and we expect this to dampen new demand somewhat by putting further pressure on rental yields, although 57 per cent of buy-to-let investors still claim that they expect to acquire further properties during the next 12 months.

Nationwide says the market will slow down throughout this year.

Ms Earley said: "By the second half of 2007, we expect to see a more pronounced slowdown in the annual rate of house price growth.

"We do not expect a severe fall in confidence, even if interest rates were to rise once more, due to the continued strength of the economy and the labour market in particular."


Your Say YourSwindon Advertiser

Richard James, Swindon says...
9:07am Wed 28 Feb 07

No its not.....

Trevor Neil, Swindon says...
9:26am Wed 28 Feb 07

As a home owner if I choose to move and my house has depreciated by 10% then the house that i will be buying will also have depreciated by 10%. Likewise, if my house had increased by 10% then the house I would be buying would also have increased by 10%

Thanks for the advice "Adver", I really will try not to "panic"!

Actually I am more concerned about house prices increasing. If there are no buyers (such as first timers) at the bottom end of the market - this has a bigger impact on the rest of the housing market.

Simple arithmetic, Swindon says...
11:59am Wed 28 Feb 07

As a home owner if I choose to move and my house has depreciated by 10% then the house that i will be buying will also have depreciated by 10%. Likewise, if my house had increased by 10% then the house I would be buying would also have increased by 10%


If you are moving locally then presumably this would be to a larger, more expensive house or perhaps a move might be to an area where house prices may well be higher (eg. any closer to London). Therefore the extra you will need to pay has gone up by 10%.

Anon, says...
12:08pm Wed 28 Feb 07

Simple arithmetic wrote:
As a home owner if I choose to move and my house has depreciated by 10% then the house that i will be buying will also have depreciated by 10%. Likewise, if my house had increased by 10% then the house I would be buying would also have increased by 10%
If you are moving locally then presumably this would be to a larger, more expensive house or perhaps a move might be to an area where house prices may well be higher (eg. any closer to London). Therefore the extra you will need to pay has gone up by 10%.
But he would also get an extra 10% for his house! Swings and roundabouts happy days!

Con, Swindon says...
12:37pm Wed 28 Feb 07

I never understand why people are overjoyous on the increase in prices. The gap between property has increased so much even people with equity are finding it hard to trade up, let alone FTB buying their first property. It is a big piramid scheme that cannot keep going for ever. People are paying over the odds for their property on the assumption they will continue to rise and make them rich. But they still need somewhere to live!!

So Negative, says...
12:46pm Wed 28 Feb 07

People have been making money on properties for absolute years this isnt anything new - this is the way it always has been I dont know why anyone is surprised about it and dont why this is even a story!!

Farepack Lover, says...
1:33pm Wed 28 Feb 07

any news on farepack?

Toni, swindon says...
1:52pm Wed 28 Feb 07

Farepack Lover wrote:
any news on farepack?
Yeah they went out of business didnt they? Not heard much about it.

Al Smith, Swindon, UK says...
2:17pm Wed 28 Feb 07

THE housing market is cooling off - but there's no need to panic.

Are the so called adver 'journalists' being paid by the banks to make us take on bigger mortgages? Or do they have several BTL flats?

If the price of your house doubles then so does the price you are buying - so you need to take out a larger mortgage.

Your house in 2000 was 50k, in 2007 it's 100k. A 50k difference.

The house you want to buy was 100k in 2000, in 2007 it's 200k. A 100k difference - who benefits banks and property speculators.

If the price of your house goes down so does that of the one you want to buy - so you need to take out a smaller mortgage.

Trevor Neil, Swindon says...
3:18pm Wed 28 Feb 07

That was my point. As a home-owner with substantial equity it is not in my financial interest for house prices to keep rising and, it would also be in the markets' interest for prices to slowly fall.

The more people that are able to get onto the housing ladder the better and easier it will be for existing home-owners to move/sell (up or down).

DONKEY FROM OLD TOWN, says...
5:03pm Wed 28 Feb 07

Sadly, I don't know how first-time buyers make the initial move, nowadays? Judging by job advertisements, wages have definitely fallen behind what is expected to allow them their first bricks and mortar.

Still, I am guessing, but, are parents, grandparents and inheritances helping out more than we are led to believe. I can't see any way forward for low wage earners.

Not everyone has a good income and has maybe graduated to enable this!

Good old Tone may have helped with the minimum wage, but the gap rises quicker than measures can be taken.

E-aw, e-aw, e-always says that!!

Rahchman, says...
9:10pm Wed 28 Feb 07

The Council, is allowing a problem to build up. Too many 1 bed and 2 bed flats and houses being built. Then these are saffled up by the BTL brigade. The sqeeze on prices will happen when people want 3 bed houses. Hold on to them they will be rarer than hens teeth and will command a fortune. The restricted supply will strangle the town's growth at the same time. The Council wants 40,000 houses here. I hope that the 3 Bed model will be more than 65% of that total.

Come on Council, get and give planning to 3 beds only. Or is it e-aww e-aww from the government that has tied your hands?

Visions of Living, says...
9:18am Thu 1 Mar 07

Why does council only give council houses to the families of existing tenants and immigrants?

Why is it that, when a person is given a council house (because of their need at the time) the house is then for live regardless of their financial situation?

What about the rest of us and our families? Those of use that weren't borne into money or whose parents weren't lucky enough to have a council house or had came to this country as an economic migrant.

Its little wonder that we have high teenage pregnancy and immigration problems in Swindon.

What about the decent people of this town that adhere to the system, when will the need of our "quality of live" be addressed?


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